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Toby Samuel vs Zizou Bergs — European Open - Brussels Round of 32

European Open - BrusselsR32HardMon 19 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
47%53%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Samuel T.6.1/10
Even match
Bergs Z.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+28 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bergs Z.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1808Supports Bergs Z.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 881
Hard ELO1 772
Last 106–4
Age24
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $458K2026 $344K
ELO1 984
Hard ELO1 807
Last 106–4
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.5M2026 $1.5M

Toby Samuel faces Zizou Bergs in the European Open - Brussels round of 32 on hard. Zizou Bergs holds the paper edge — ranked #39, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

4 shared · last 12 months

Samuel T. and Bergs Z. faced 4 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Samuel T. went 1–3 (25%) against them, Bergs Z. 1–3 (25%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

1–325%Samuel T. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–325%Bergs Z. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
5–8Sets5–8
55–64Games66–69
0–1Tiebreaks2–2
0–1Deciding sets0–2

Only 4 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

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Head-to-head

1 meeting · Bergs Z. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Samuel T.Bergs Z.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate69% (37–17) (ahead)54% (28–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18811984 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17721807 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won69%75% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)38%
Aces / match4.37.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 52 vs 50 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Overcast
Wind6 km/h
Humidity91%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Samuel T.Bergs Z.
11 — fresherDays since last match4
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
0 — fresherGames · 7 days48
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
22 — fresherGames · 14 days79
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Toby Samuel vs Zizou Bergs — European Open - Brussels Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/bergs-vs-samuel-european-open-brussels-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).