Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko — Wuhan Semi-final

WuhanSemi-finalHardSat 17 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Kartal S.
66%34%

Kartal S. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

ELO1 969
Hard ELO1 839
Last 107–3
Age24
Height163 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $326K
ELO1 948
Hard ELO1 786
Last 106–4
Age29
Height177 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $20.8M2026 $2.1M

Sonay Kartal faces Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan semi-final on hard. Jelena Ostapenko holds the paper edge — ranked #34, defending last year's round of 64. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on hard.

Key context

Common opponents

6 shared · last 12 months

Kartal S. and Ostapenko J. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Kartal S. went 3–3 (50%) against them, Ostapenko J. 3–4 (43%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

3–350%Kartal S. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents3–443%Ostapenko J. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
7–6Sets9–9
58–51Games84–81
0–1Tiebreaks0–0
0–1Deciding sets1–3
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Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Kartal S.Ostapenko J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate68% (17–8) (ahead)57% (27–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1969 (ahead)1948
Hard-court ELO1839 (ahead)1786
Serve vs returnLast 23 vs 46 matches
1st-serve points won67%67%
Return points won45%45%
Aces / match2.44.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 23 vs 46 matches
Break points saved51%54% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium
Forecast26°C · Mainly clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity77%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kartal S.Ostapenko J.
1Days since last match1
3Matches · 7 days3
53 — fresherGames · 7 days68
5Matches · 14 days5
87 — fresherGames · 14 days119
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko — Wuhan Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-17/kartal-vs-ostapenko-wuhan-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 17 October 2026).