UMPIRY
EN

Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal — Wuhan Final

WuhanFinalHardSun 18 Oct · 18:30Dongfeng Voyah Center Court · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Kartal S.
33%67%

Clear edge for Kartal S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Chwalinska M.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Kartal S.6.0/10
Even match
Why
Surface+97 Hard Elo edgeSupports Kartal S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1874Supports Kartal S.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Kartal S.
Opponent formOpponent hot: 8 of last 10Supports Kartal S.
Recent run5-match win streakBoth players
ELO1 939
Hard ELO1 710
Last 108–2
Age25
Height164 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $3.0M2026 $2.2M
ELO1 987
Hard ELO1 855
Last 107–3
Age24
Height163 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $326K

Maja Chwalinska faces Sonay Kartal in the Wuhan final on hard. Maja Chwalinska holds the paper edge — ranked #22. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Chwalinska M. and Kartal S. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Chwalinska M. went 4–1 (80%) against them, Kartal S. 3–2 (60%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 1 better-results split).

4–180%Chwalinska M. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents3–260%Kartal S. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–3Sets7–4
53–34Games61–48
0–0Tiebreaks1–2
1–1Deciding sets0–1
Show 2 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Chwalinska M.Kartal S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate69% (38–17)69% (18–8) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19391987 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17101855 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 25 matches
1st-serve points won60%67% (ahead)
Return points won49% (ahead)44%
Aces / match0.72.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 55 vs 25 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)52%

When it starts

Dongfeng Voyah Center Court · Next on · Not before 6:30 PM
  • 1This match: Chwalinska M. v Kartal S.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Dongfeng Voyah Center Court · 18:30 local
SurfaceHard · medium
Forecast18°C · Overcast
Wind7 km/h
Humidity81%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Chwalinska M.Kartal S.
1Days since last match1
4Matches · 7 days4
82Games · 7 days79 — fresher
4 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
82 — fresherGames · 14 days113
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal — Wuhan Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/chwalinska-vs-kartal-wuhan-f?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).