Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges | Shanghai Masters Round of 32

UMPIRY

Shanghai MastersR32HardFri 9 Oct · 12:00

Jiri Lehecka(22)ATP #19 · CZE70%

VSClear favourite · Lehecka J.

Nuno BorgesATP #51 · POR30%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Lehecka J.

70%30%

Clear edge for Lehecka J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Lehecka J.7.5/10

Dominant favourite

Borges N.5.0/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+168 Hard Elo edgeSupports Lehecka J.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1922Supports Lehecka J.

Travel1h west, 2d agoInformative

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Borges N.

Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players

ELO2 097

Hard ELO1 929

Last 108–2

Age24

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $9.5M2026 $2.1M

ELO1 981

Hard ELO1 832

Last 106–4

Age29

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $5.7M2026 $1.3M

Jiri Lehecka faces Nuno Borges in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. Jiri Lehecka holds the paper edge — ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Jiri Lehecka 118 games in 14 days, Nuno Borges 22.
Under pressure: Jiri Lehecka has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 78 vs Nuno Borges's 56).
Head-to-head: Jiri Lehecka leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Davis Cup QLS R1: CZE vs POR 2023.

Common opponents

9 shared · last 12 months

Lehecka J. and Borges N. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Lehecka J. went 6–4 (60%) against them, Borges N. 4–8 (33%). Lehecka J. came out better against 3 of 9 comparable opponents, Borges N. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement, lower-tier event).

6–460%Lehecka J. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents4–833%Borges N. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

13–9Sets9–20

116–109Games132–164

4–2Tiebreaks1–5

1–1Deciding sets0–1

vs Sinner J.#1L4-6 4-6Miami Masters · hardL6-7 6-7 4-6Wimbledon · grass
vs Auger-Aliassime F.#6L6-7 7-6 2-6Brussels · hardW3-6 6-4 6-4 0-0Australian Open · hard
vs Jodar R.#13L3-6 3-6Montreal · hardL6-7 4-6Rome Masters · clay

Show 6 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Vacherot V.#14L1-6 3-6Paris Masters · hardL5-7 5-7Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Tien L.#16W6-3 7-5Davis Cup · hardL4-6 1-6 2-6US Open · hard
vs Struff J.#59W7-6 6-3Rome Masters · clayW6-4 7-5Mallorca · grass
vs Quinn E.#66W6-3 7-6Miami Masters · hardL1-6 2-6Mallorca · grass
vs Nava E.#122W7-6 6-7 6-2Monte Carlo Masters · clayW7-6 7-5Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Kouame M.#201W6-2 7-5Miami Masters · hardW6-4 6-2Bastad · clay

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Lehecka J. leads 1–0

Lehecka J.February 2023Davis Cup QLS R1: CZE vs PORClay6-4 6-4

Evidence

Lehecka J.Borges N.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–26–4

Season win rate66% (35–18)50% (27–27)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO20971981

Hard-court ELO19291832

Serve vs returnLast 31 vs 40 matches

1st-serve points won75%74%

Return points won34%35%

Aces / match9.06.4

ClutchLast 31 vs 40 matches

Break points saved73%64%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast23°C · Overcast

Wind7 km/h

Humidity58%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Lehecka J.Borges N.

2Days since last match8

4Matches · 7 days0

87Games · 7 days0

5Matches · 14 days1

118Games · 14 days22

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges — Shanghai Masters Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-09/borges-vs-lehecka-shanghai-masters-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 October 2026).