Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame — Bastad Round of 32
POR5
Borges N.
Nuno Borges faces Moise Kouame in the Bastad round of 32 on clay. Nuno Borges holds the paper edge — ranked #48, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 300-point clay Elo advantage.
Around the match
The 17-year-old French talent faces a tough ATP debut in Bastad against top seed Nuno Borges following an elbow injury that sidelined him after his Roland Garros breakthrough.
Kouame M.Tennis Temple - Live tennis ↗
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Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Borges N. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Nuno Borges 69 games in 14 days, Moise Kouame 20.
- Stage: Nuno Borges defends last year's round of 16.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Serve & return on clay
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.