Cristina Bucsa vs Coco Gauff — US Open Round of 32

US Open · WTA · Round of 32
Cristina Bucsa
ESP
Cristina Bucsa
#40WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 5 September 2026 ·
hard
Arthur Ashe Stadium · 1st on
Coco Gauff
USA4
Coco Gauff
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
Bucsa C.
3-6 4-6
Gauff C.
Bucsa C.
340
Gauff C.
662

Coco Gauff defeated Cristina Bucsa in the Round of 32 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-4 in Gauff's favor.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • “It was way different playing in the day than at night. I think I was decelerating a little bit, just because it's a little bit faster. But once I was down that break, I just told myself I need to accelerate through my shots.”

    Gauff C.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “I think I was finally feeling the ball good, maybe the last two games of the match. Once I got my rhythm, then I was able to swing through a little bit more.”

    Gauff C.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

  • Match story: Coco Gauff closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian WellsR64hardCoco Gauff6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
Bucsa C.Gauff C.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
43%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bucsa C.Gauff C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
93
Break points saved·Dominant
16
81
Break points won·Clear edge
83
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
59
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Bucsa C.8%
Gauff C.92%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gauff C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bucsa C.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Gauff C.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
0.9Hard Elo 1710
Surface ELO
9.1+325 Hard Elo edge
0.6Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
9.4Overall Elo 2071
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.39 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bucsa C.Gauff C.
Freshness·Even
73
72

Bucsa C.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw