Elise Mertens vs Cristina Bucsa — Indian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
Elise Mertens
BEL22
Elise Mertens
#27WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
Cristina Bucsa
ESP
Cristina Bucsa
#35WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWW
Mertens E.
6-2 6-1
Bucsa C.
Mertens E.
662
Bucsa C.
210

Elise Mertens defeated Cristina Bucsa 6-2 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elise Mertens came in ranked #27, defending last year's round of 32. Elise Mertens extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13OsakaR32hardElise Mertens7-6(5) 6-3
2025-08-25US OpenR32hardCristina Bucsa3-6 7-5 6-3
2025-02-09DohaR32hardElise Mertens6-2 6-3
2024-09-25BeijingR32hardCristina Bucsa4-6 6-2 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Bucsa C.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Bucsa C.
51
Serve
22
54
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mertens E.Bucsa C.
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
46%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
0.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mertens E.Bucsa C.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
79
Break points won·Even
96
93
Deciding sets·Slight edge
76
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mertens E.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Bucsa C.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+137 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1710
6.9Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1722
7.2
H2H
2.8
6.8
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.0
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mertens E.Bucsa C.
Freshness·
66
—

Mertens E.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[3]
3-66-37-66
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Noskova L.[14]
6-36-4
Rybakina E.[3]
Svitolina E.[9]
7-56-4
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[3]
Pegula J.[5]
6-17-64
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mboko V.[10]
7-606-4
Svitolina E.[9]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-24-66-4
Noskova L.[14]
Gibson T.
6-24-66-2
R16
Svitolina E.[9]
Siniakova K.
6-11-1
Rybakina E.[3]
Kartal S.
6-44-3
Noskova L.[14]
Eala A.[31]
6-26-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osaka N.[16]
6-26-4
Pegula J.[5]
Bencic B.[12]
6-37-65
Gibson T.
Paolini J.[7]
7-52-66-1
Mboko V.[10]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Muchova K.[13]
6-26-0
R32
Eala A.[31]
Gauff C.[4]
6-22-0
Pegula J.[5]
Ostapenko J.[26]
4-66-36-2
Osaka N.[16]
Osorio C.
6-13-66-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Raducanu E.[25]
6-16-1
Muchova K.[13]
Ruzic A.
6-06-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Kostyuk M.[28]
6-46-4
Bencic B.[12]
Mertens E.[22]
6-26-3
Gibson T.
Tauson C.[17]
7-624-66-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Sakkari M.[32]
6-36-2
Kartal S.
Keys M.[15]
2-66-26-3
Svitolina E.[9]
Krueger A.
6-46-2
Mboko V.[10]
Kalinskaya A.[23]
6-46-1
Siniakova K.
Andreeva M.[8]
4-67-656-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Cristian J.
6-46-1
Paolini J.[7]
Tomljanovic A.
7-55-76-1
Noskova L.[14]
Cirstea S.
6-756-46-4
R64
Siniakova K.
Fernandez L.[27]
5-76-47-61
Gauff C.[4]
Rakhimova K.
6-37-65
Muchova K.[13]
Bondar A.
7-56-2
Bencic B.[12]
Hunter S.
6-36-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Day K.
6-07-62
Osorio C.
Jovic I.[18]
4-67-646-3
Noskova L.[14]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-36-3
Keys M.[15]
Parry D.
6-46-3
Raducanu E.[25]
Zakharova A.
6-16-3
Kartal S.
Navarro E.[20]
6-13-67-62
Tomljanovic A.
Wang X.[30]
6-36-1
Kostyuk M.[28]
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Paolini J.[7]
Potapova A.
6-756-26-3
Sakkari M.[32]
Tagger L.
7-56-0
Ostapenko J.[26]
Volynets K.
6-47-65
Ruzic A.
Zheng Q.[24]
6-47-5
Cirstea S.
Shnaider D.[21]
6-27-60
Mboko V.[10]
Birrell K.
6-47-65
Gibson T.
Alexandrova E.[11]
6-37-5
Mertens E.[22]
Bucsa C.
6-26-1
Andreeva M.[8]
Sierra S.
6-06-0
Cristian J.
Joint M.[29]
0-66-27-5
Eala A.[31]
Yastremska D.
7-54-67-5
Anisimova A.[6]
Blinkova A.
5-76-16-0
Rybakina E.[3]
Baptiste H.
7-652-66-2
Osaka N.[16]
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
7-56-2
Svitolina E.[9]
Siegemund L.
7-654-66-3
Krueger A.
Samsonova L.[19]
3-67-56-2
Kalinskaya A.[23]
Sonmez Z.
6-47-64
Pegula J.[5]
Vekic D.
4-66-26-3
Tauson C.[17]
Putintseva Y.
7-696-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Sakatsume H.
6-46-2
R128
Volynets K.
Sramkova R.
6-10-0
Vekic D.
Valentova T.
7-647-64
Cirstea S.
Maria T.
6-44-66-3
Osorio C.
Stephens S.
6-46-1
Siegemund L.
Marcinko P.
3-66-36-4
Zakharova A.
Seidel E.
6-26-2
Bucsa C.
Vidmanova D.
6-46-0
Kartal S.
Tararudee L.
6-46-4
Gibson T.
Li A.
6-37-5
Day K.
Jones F.
6-36-1
Tagger L.
Gracheva V.
6-26-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Haddad Maia B.
6-16-756-1
Townsend T.
Bouzkova M.
6-26-1
Tomljanovic A.
Ruse E.
7-56-2
Parry D.
Williams V.
6-36-746-1
Baptiste H.
Arango E.
2-66-26-3
Sonmez Z.
Kessler M.
7-676-0
Sierra S.
Stearns P.
7-57-5
Sakatsume H.
Parks A.
6-46-3
Rakhimova K.
Andreescu B.
6-766-06-1
Putintseva Y.
Badosa P.
6-46-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Mcnally C.
6-26-746-4
Cristian J.
Tjen J.
4-66-47-66
Bondar A.
Jacquemot E.
7-657-5
Siniakova K.
Kenin S.
1-66-46-1
Potapova A.
Stakusic M.
4-66-17-5
Ruzic A.
Brady J.
3-66-46-2
Birrell K.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-16-4
Blinkova A.
Galfi D.
6-47-5
Krueger A.
Linette M.
6-16-4
Yastremska D.
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Hunter S.
Frech M.
3-67-56-3