Cristina Bucsa vs Elise Mertens — Beijing Round of 32

Beijing · WTA · Round of 32
Cristina Bucsa
ESP
Cristina Bucsa
#35WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
Elise Mertens
BEL24
Elise Mertens
#27WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Bucsa C.
4-6 6-2 6-2
Mertens E.
Bucsa C.
4662
Mertens E.
6221

Cristina Bucsa defeated Elise Mertens 4-6 6-2 6-2 in the Beijing round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elise Mertens came in ranked #27, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 64. Cristina Bucsa narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR64hardElise Mertens6-2 6-1
2025-10-13OsakaR32hardElise Mertens7-6(5) 6-3
2025-08-25US OpenR32hardCristina Bucsa3-6 7-5 6-3
2025-02-09DohaR32hardElise Mertens6-2 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bucsa C.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Serve advantage — Mertens E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bucsa C.Mertens E.
22
Serve
51
52
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bucsa C.Mertens E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.2
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (131 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bucsa C.Mertens E.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
90
Break points won·Even
93
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
68
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
27
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bucsa C.
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 37 days (−0.7)
Mertens E.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1710
Surface ELO
6.6+137 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1894
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
4.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bucsa C.Mertens E.
Freshness·
—
78

Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[4]
Muchova K.
6-16-3
Semi-finals
Muchova K.
Zheng Q.[5]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[4]
Badosa P.[15]
4-66-46-2
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Starodubtseva Y.
2-66-26-2
Muchova K.
Sabalenka A.[1]
7-652-66-4
Badosa P.[15]
Zhang S.
6-17-64
Zheng Q.[5]
Andreeva M.[17]
5-76-06-4
R16
Gauff C.[4]
Osaka N.
3-66-40-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Keys M.[18]
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Bucsa C.
6-26-0
Zhang S.
Frech M.[23]
6-46-2
Badosa P.[15]
Pegula J.[2]
6-46-0
Starodubtseva Y.
Kalinskaya A.[10]
7-56-0
Andreeva M.[17]
Linette M.[31]
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[5]
Anisimova A.[34]
3-66-16-2
R32
Gauff C.[4]
Boulter K.[26]
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.[10]
Stearns P.
3-66-33-1
Andreeva M.[17]
Vekic D.[16]
3-66-46-4
Muchova K.
Cristian J.
6-16-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Avanesyan E.
6-36-1
Osaka N.
Volynets K.
6-36-2
Badosa P.[15]
Sramkova R.
7-57-5
Frech M.[23]
Shnaider D.[12]
0-66-36-4
Anisimova A.[34]
Kasatkina D.[9]
7-616-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Krueger A.
6-26-2
Keys M.[18]
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-36-3
Bucsa C.
Mertens E.[24]
4-66-26-2
Linette M.[31]
Paolini J.[3]
6-46-0
Zheng Q.[5]
Podoroska N.
6-36-2
Zhang S.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Pegula J.[2]
Kudermetova V.[32]
6-796-16-2
R64
Osaka N.
Putintseva Y.[21]
3-66-46-2
Shnaider D.[12]
Kenin S.
6-26-3
Keys M.[18]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-26-1
Badosa P.[15]
Tomova V.
6-36-2
Zhang S.
Navarro E.[6]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Sawangkaew M.
6-46-1
Krueger A.
Sun L.[29]
6-17-64
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Wei S.
7-56-4
Bucsa C.
Samsonova L.[11]
6-14-66-4
Mertens E.[24]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-766-3
Muchova K.
Yuan Y.[30]
6-36-1
Avanesyan E.
Dolehide C.[33]
6-35-76-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Siniakova K.[27]
6-26-2
Stearns P.
Fernandez L.[20]
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.[10]
Baptiste H.
3-67-627-65
Volynets K.
Kostyuk M.[14]
7-56-3
Frech M.[23]
Parks A.
6-45-76-4
Paolini J.[3]
Tauson C.
1-67-56-4
Linette M.[31]
Uchijima M.
6-44-66-3
Andreeva M.[17]
Begu I.
6-756-16-1
Vekic D.[16]
Golubic V.
4-67-636-4
Kasatkina D.[9]
Fett J.
6-16-2
Podoroska N.
Yastremska D.[25]
7-56-746-2
Boulter K.[26]
Townsend T.
6-46-4
Gauff C.[4]
Burel C.
7-56-3
Kudermetova V.[32]
Wang X.
3-66-47-5
Pegula J.[2]
Parry D.
6-17-64
Anisimova A.[34]
Osorio C.
1-66-36-4
Cristian J.
Krejcikova B.[7]
1-66-47-5
Zheng Q.[5]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-1
Minnen G.
Potapova A.[28]
7-52-66-4
Sramkova R.
Alexandrova E.[22]
5-76-46-3
R128
Zhang S.
Kessler M.
7-657-61
Burel C.
Korpatsch T.
6-35-76-3
Tauson C.
Dart H.
5-76-46-1
Bucsa C.
Yao X.
6-36-2
Cristian J.
Bondar A.
6-17-65
Uchijima M.
Shi H.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Wang X.
7-650-66-3
Fett J.
Wang M.
6-36-4
Avanesyan E.
Bektas E.
6-27-5
Baptiste H.
Gracheva V.
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Townsend T.
Trevisan M.
6-24-66-3
Minnen G.
Andreeva E.
7-56-2
Kenin S.
Bogdan A.
7-56-2
Tomova V.
Tsurenko L.
6-36-3
Sramkova R.
Kalinina A.
6-46-0
Parry D.
Liang E.
4-66-06-0
Krueger A.
Wang Y.
3-66-46-2
Sorribes Tormo S.
Gao X.
6-747-57-5
Muchova K.
Blinkova A.
6-16-1
Podoroska N.
Ren Y.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Birrell K.
6-26-4
Stearns P.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-26-4
Begu I.
Ma Y.
1-66-46-1
Osorio C.
Tomljanovic A.
1-66-36-3
Volynets K.
Galfi D.
7-56-1
Parks A.
Wang Q.
1-66-46-2
Wang X.
Hontama M.
6-16-3
Cocciaretto E.
Rodionova A.
4-66-46-3
Sawangkaew M.
Diyas Z.
6-26-3
Wei S.
Ruse E.
6-47-66
Starodubtseva Y.
Siegemund L.
6-47-63