Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti — US Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
GBR
Arthur Fery
#33ATP
1721ELO
1685Hard ELO
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWW
0 — 3
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
hard
Grandstand · 2nd on
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA13
Lorenzo Musetti
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLWW
Fery A.
3-6 3-6 5-7
Musetti L.
Fery A.
3350
Musetti L.
6673

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Arthur Fery in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-3, 7-5 in favor of Musetti. Musetti served 7 aces and committed 4 double faults, while converting 67% of his break points and securing 6 service breaks, compared to Fery's 0 aces, 5 double faults, 33% break point conversion, and 2 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • “Congratulations to you and your team, Ignacio, for your second title this year. I want to thank my team as well. It couldn't be us today but thank you for everything you do for me. We have had a great year and hopefully we can finish strong.”

    Fery A.Sky Sports ↗

  • Fery's opponent James Duckworth retired from their ATP Winston-Salem semifinal, raising health concerns ahead of the US Open.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Fery A.Last Word On Sports ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Musetti closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Fery A.Musetti L.
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
4.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Fery A.Musetti L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
94
Break points won·Dominant
33
81
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
46
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Fery A.28%
Musetti L.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Musetti L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fery A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Musetti L.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1684
Surface ELO
6.5+119 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1721
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1869
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
7.0Reached the quarters here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Fery A.Musetti L.
Freshness·Even
86
85

Fery A.: 8 days rest · 5 matches (14d) · Musetti L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 96%

Draw