Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis Galarneau — Granby Quarter-final
Vukic A.
Aleksandar Vukic faces Alexis Galarneau in the Granby quarter-final on hard. Aleksandar Vukic holds the paper edge — ranked #113, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Aleksandar Vukic 57 games in 14 days, Alexis Galarneau 128.
- Under pressure: Aleksandar Vukic has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 59 vs Alexis Galarneau's 28).
- Last match: Aleksandar Vukic dropped just 6 games past Nicolas Arseneault.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on hard
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadVukic A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Galarneau A.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 128 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.