Liam Draxl vs Daniel MilavskyGranby

Granby · CHALLENGER
#223ATP
1592ELO
1565Hard ELO
$201kYTD
$642kCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWWLWW
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
hard
#335ATP
1349ELO
1337Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10
WLWWWWLLWW
Draxl L.
vs
Milavsky D.

Liam Draxl faces Daniel Milavsky in the Granby match on hard. Liam Draxl holds the paper edge — ranked #223, a roughly 230-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC
Draxl L.88%
Milavsky D.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Draxl L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+228 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1337
8.0Overall Elo 1592
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1348
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
74%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
7.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Draxl L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Milavsky D.

Milavsky D.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Draxl L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
67

Draxl L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Milavsky D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.