Guy Den Ouden vs Hynek BartonBunschoten

Bunschoten · CHALLENGER
#231ATP
1495ELO
1484Clay ELO
$84kYTD
$332kCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLLWLW
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
clay
#256ATP
1570ELO
1535Clay ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWWWLW
Den Ouden G.
vs
Barton H.

Guy Den Ouden faces Hynek Barton in the Bunschoten match on clay. Guy Den Ouden holds the paper edge — ranked #231. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Den Ouden G.31%
Barton H.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Barton H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1484
Surface ELO
5.6+51 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1495
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1570
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
H2H
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

17 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
49%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Den Ouden G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Barton H.

Barton H.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Den Ouden G.

Serve advantage — Barton H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
38
Break points saved·Slight edge
72
79
Break points won·Dominant
36
6
Deciding sets·Dominant
20
71
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
35
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
96

Den Ouden G.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Barton H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.