Tomas Barrios Vera vs Niels ViskerBunschoten Round of 32

Bunschoten · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#137ATP
1615ELO
1589Clay ELO
$205kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLLWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#453ATP
1371ELO
1262Clay ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLWWW
Barrios Vera T.
vs
Visker N.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Barrios Vera T.83%
Visker N.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Barrios Vera T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
9.1+327 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Clay Elo 1262
8.1Overall Elo 1615
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1371
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

33 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
66%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
32%
Break points saved·Clear edge
61%
76%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.2
10.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Barrios Vera T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Visker N.

Visker N.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Barrios Vera T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
93

Barrios Vera T.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d) · Visker N.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.