Guy Den Ouden vs Denis Yevseyev — Bunschoten Round of 32
Den Ouden G.
Guy Den Ouden faces Denis Yevseyev in the Bunschoten round of 32 on clay. Guy Den Ouden holds the paper edge — ranked #231, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Den Ouden G. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Guy Den Ouden 59 games in 14 days, Denis Yevseyev 134.
- Under pressure: Guy Den Ouden has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 26 vs Denis Yevseyev's 0).
- Surface form: Guy Den Ouden 5 of 8, Denis Yevseyev 3 of 8 on clay recently — Guy Den Ouden the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDen Ouden G.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Yevseyev D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.