Hynek Barton vs Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaBunschoten Round of 32

Bunschoten · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#256ATP
1570ELO
1535Clay ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#236ATP
1486ELO
1470Clay ELO
$76kYTD
$371kCAREER
26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWLWLW
Barton H.
vs
Reis Da Silva J.

Hynek Barton faces Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva in the Bunschoten round of 32 on clay. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva holds the paper edge — ranked #236. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Barton H.73%
Reis Da Silva J.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Barton H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.8+65 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1470
6.1Overall Elo 1570
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1486
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

38 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Barton H.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Reis Da Silva J.

Reis Da Silva J.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Barton H.

Serve advantage — Barton H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
38
12
Break points saved·Dominant
79
49
Break points won·Dominant
6
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
71
9
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
28
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
100

Barton H.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Reis Da Silva J.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.