Max Schoenhaus vs Max HoukesBunschoten Round of 16

Bunschoten · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#320ATP
1508ELO
1467Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
WLWLLWLWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
clay
#244ATP
1460ELO
1444Clay ELO
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLLLWW
Schoenhaus M.
vs
Houkes M.

Max Schoenhaus faces Max Houkes in the Bunschoten round of 16 on clay. Max Houkes is the paper favourite — ranked #244 — but Max Schoenhaus arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 8 on clay to Max Houkes's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC
Schoenhaus M.63%
Houkes M.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Schoenhaus M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+23 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1444
5.6Overall Elo 1508
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1460
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

12 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Schoenhaus M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Houkes M.

Houkes M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Schoenhaus M.

Serve advantage — Schoenhaus M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
100

Schoenhaus M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Houkes M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.