Filippo Romano vs Daniel Elahi GalanBunschoten Round of 16

Bunschoten · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#308ATP
1470ELO
1342Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLWWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 1st on
#304ATP
1531ELO
1492Clay ELO
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWLWW
Romano F.
vs
Galan D.

Filippo Romano faces Daniel Elahi Galan in the Bunschoten round of 16 on clay. Daniel Elahi Galan holds the paper edge — ranked #304, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Romano F.44%
Galan D.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1342
Surface ELO
6.9+150 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1470
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1530
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Romano F.Stable
Galan D.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Romano F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Galan D.

Galan D.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Romano F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
71

Romano F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.