Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna — Bogota Round of 16
Mejia N.
Nicolas Mejia faces Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna in the Bogota round of 16 on clay. Nicolas Mejia holds the paper edge — a roughly 170-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Mejia N. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Nicolas Mejia 137 games in 14 days, Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 61.
- Form trend: Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Nicolas Mejia's has cooled.
- Last match: Nicolas Mejia dropped just 5 games past Fermin Tenti.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMejia N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 43 games (7d) · Rodriguez Taverna S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.