Taro Daniel vs Zdenek Kolar — Iasi Round of 16

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Taro Daniel
JPN
Taro Daniel
#203ATP
1567ELO
1542Clay ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWLW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
Zdenek Kolar
CZE
Zdenek Kolar
#154ATP
1506ELO
1485Clay ELO
$121kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLLLWL
Daniel T.
vs
Kolar Z.

Taro Daniel faces Zdenek Kolar in the Iasi round of 16 on clay. Taro Daniel holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC
Daniel T.57%
Kolar Z.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Daniel T.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kolar Z.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+57 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1485
5.8Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1506
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
9.39 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on clay
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Daniel T.Rising
Kolar Z.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
Daniel T.Kolar Z.
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Daniel T.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kolar Z.

Kolar Z.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Daniel T.Kolar Z.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
26
Break points saved·Dominant
93
53
Break points won·Slight edge
37
28
Deciding sets·Dominant
18
58
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Daniel T.Kolar Z.
Freshness·
—
99

Kolar Z.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CRain
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 68%

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-11-09SofiaQ1hardTaro Daniel6-4 6-3