Patrick Maloney vs Hayato Matsuoka — Newport Qualifying Final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
USAPR
Patrick Maloney
#781ATP
1321ELO
1371Grass ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 8 · 3rd on
JPNLL
Hayato Matsuoka
#346ATP
1361ELO
1380Grass ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWW
Maloney P.
6-3 6-4
Matsuoka H.
Maloney P.
662
Matsuoka H.
340

Patrick Maloney reeled off five straight games on the way to a 6-3 6-4 win over Hayato Matsuoka in the Newport qualifying final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Maloney P.Matsuoka H.
1st serve in·
—
66%
1st serve points won·
—
68%
2nd serve points won·
—
51%
Service points won·
—
62%
Return points won·
—
40%
Break points saved·
—
54%
Aces / match·
—
3.7
Double faults / match·
—
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC
Maloney P.35%
Matsuoka H.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Matsuoka H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Maloney P.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Matsuoka H.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1371
Surface ELO
5.1+10 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1321
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1361
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Maloney P.Matsuoka H.
Freshness·Clear edge
67
81

Maloney P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Matsuoka H.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 92%