Jason Jung vs Hiroki Moriya — Newport Qualifying Final
Newport · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
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Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
grass
COURT 6 · 1st on
Jung J.vs
Moriya H.
Jason Jung faces Hiroki Moriya in the Newport qualifying final on grass. Hiroki Moriya holds the paper edge — ranked #472, leading the head-to-head 1–0.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:21 UTCJung J.62%
Moriya H.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Jung J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Jason Jung comes in with 1 days of rest and 32 games in 14d, vs Hiroki Moriya's 1 and 70.
- Last match: Hiroki Moriya edged A. Martinez in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
- Head-to-head: Hiroki Moriya leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Australian Open 2019.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.8+64 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.2Grass Elo 1354
5.8Overall Elo 1420
ELO gap4.2Overall Elo 1353
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Surface form5.55 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
3 vs 28 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
39%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
40%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Moriya H.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 94%
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-14 | Australian Open | Q2 | hard | Hiroki Moriya | 6-2 6-3 |
Semi-finals
Final
—
Milavsky D.
Jung J.
Moriya H.