Andre Ilagan vs Alex Rybakov — Newport Qualifying Final
USA2
USA
Ilagan A.Andre Ilagan won the final of the Newport grass tournament, defeating Alex Rybakov 3-6, 6-4, 6-3. Ilagan served five aces to Rybakov's 13 and did not commit a double fault, while Rybakov had two. Ilagan converted 33% of his break points and broke Rybakov's serve three times, compared to Rybakov's two service breaks.
Key context
- Match story: Andre Ilagan dropped the opening set before beating Alex Rybakov 3–6 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Ilagan A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadIlagan A.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Rybakov A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About