Jason Jung vs Hiroki MoriyaNewport Qualifying Final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#1095ATP
1420ELO
1417Grass ELO
37 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 8 · 2nd on
#472ATP
1353ELO
1354Grass ELO
35 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLLWL
Jung J.
7-6 7-6
Moriya H.
Jung J.
78772
Moriya H.
66630

Jason Jung got past Hiroki Moriya 7-6 7-6 in the Newport qualifying final on grass.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 10: A 13-point game with four deuces went Hiroki Moriya's way.
  • Pressure points: Jason Jung converted 0 of 2 break points; Hiroki Moriya converted 0 of 0 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Jung J.
Moriya H.
Break points won
0/2
Break points saved
2/2

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-01-14Australian OpenQ2hardHiroki Moriya6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Jung J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Moriya H.

Moriya H.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Jung J.

Serve advantage — Moriya H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
39%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
40%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
21
1
Break points saved·Dominant
64
35
Break points won·Even
8
9
Deciding sets·Slight edge
21
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
69
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Jung J.62%
Moriya H.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Jung J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1354
5.8Overall Elo 1420
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1353
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
80

Jung J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d) · Moriya H.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 90%