Stefan Kozlov vs Garrett JohnsNewport Qualifying Final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#296ATP
1429ELO
1414Grass ELO
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
grass
INDOOR 2 · 3rd on
#382ATP
1336ELO
1368Grass ELO
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Kozlov S.
6-4 6-2
Johns G.
Kozlov S.
662
Johns G.
420

Stefan Kozlov cruised past Garrett Johns, conceding only six games, in the Newport qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 2: Stefan Kozlov broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 4: Stefan Kozlov broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Stefan Kozlov converted 5 of 10 break points; Garrett Johns converted 2 of 4 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Kozlov S.
Johns G.
Break points won
5/10
2/4
Break points saved
2/4
5/10

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kozlov S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Johns G.

Johns G.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kozlov S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
36
36
Break points saved·Clear edge
49
66
Break points won·Clear edge
20
3
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
30
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Kozlov S.72%
Johns G.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kozlov S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.6+46 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1368
6.2Overall Elo 1429
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1336
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
64
67

Kozlov S.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Johns G.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 94%