Andre Ilagan vs Alex Rybakov — Newport Qualifying Final
USAQ
USA
Ilagan A.Andre Ilagan recovered from a set down to defeat Alex Rybakov 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Newport qualifying final.
Key context
- Momentum: Alex Rybakov won five games in a row.
- Set 3, game 2: Andre Ilagan broke serve.
- Pressure points: Andre Ilagan converted 3 of 9 break points; Alex Rybakov converted 2 of 7 break points.
Pressure & serve by court
Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Ilagan A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadIlagan A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Rybakov A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About