David Jorda Sanchis vs Juan Carlos Prado AngeloMilan Round of 32

Milan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#186ATP
1545ELO
1551Clay ELO
$64kYTD
$240kCAREER
32 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLWLLL
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
#156ATP
1511ELO
1504Clay ELO
$163kYTD
$320kCAREER
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLLLWL
Jorda Sanchis D.
vs
Prado Angelo J.

David Jorda Sanchis faces Juan Carlos Prado Angelo in the Milan round of 32 on clay. Juan Carlos Prado Angelo is the paper favourite — ranked #156 — but David Jorda Sanchis arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on clay to Juan Carlos Prado Angelo's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Jorda Sanchis D.52%
Prado Angelo J.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.6+47 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1504
5.4Overall Elo 1545
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1511
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

33 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jorda Sanchis D.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Prado Angelo J.

Prado Angelo J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Jorda Sanchis D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
39
46
Break points saved·Dominant
79
40
Break points won·Slight edge
23
30
Deciding sets·Clear edge
73
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
3
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
93

Jorda Sanchis D.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Prado Angelo J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final