Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna — Piracicaba Quarter-final
Hardt N.
Nick Hardt faces Juan Manuel La Serna in the Piracicaba quarter-final on clay. Nick Hardt holds the paper edge — ranked #270. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · La Serna J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Nick Hardt comes in with 1 days of rest and 160 games in 14d, vs Juan Manuel La Serna's 1 and 96.
- Last match: Nick Hardt dropped just 4 games past Wilson Leite.
- Last match: Juan Manuel La Serna advanced when Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna retired.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadHardt N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d) · La Serna J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
5th on QUADRA 3 · not before Not Before 17:00 · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Torres J. v Aguilar Cardozo J.3-64-6
- 2Kicker N. v Zanellato N.7-56-4
- 4Villanueva G. v Aboian V.Live0-0
- 5Hardt N. v La Serna J.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.