Hernan Casanova vs Eduardo RibeiroPiracicaba Round of 32

Piracicaba · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#421ATP
1419ELO
1405Clay ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLWWL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
clay
#381ATP
1402ELO
1394Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLWWW
Casanova H.
vs
Ribeiro E.

Hernan Casanova faces Eduardo Ribeiro in the Piracicaba round of 32 on clay. Eduardo Ribeiro holds the paper edge — ranked #381.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC
Casanova H.52%
Ribeiro E.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Hernan Casanova 4 of 10, Eduardo Ribeiro 6 of 10 on clay recently — Eduardo Ribeiro the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+11 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1394
5.2Overall Elo 1419
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1402
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

13 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
77%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.5
2.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
0.8
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Casanova H.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Ribeiro E.

Ribeiro E.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Casanova H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
10
9
Break points saved·Dominant
24
64
Break points won·Slight edge
22
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
17
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
15
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
78

Casanova H.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Ribeiro E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.