Juan Bautista Torres vs Joaquin Aguilar CardozoPiracicaba Round of 16

Piracicaba · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#281ATP
1398ELO
1386Clay ELO
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWWLWW
Sets
Friday, 26 June 2026 ·
clay
QUADRA 6 · 5th on
#582ATP
1224ELO
1233Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10
WLWLLWWLWW
Torres J.
vs
Aguilar Cardozo J.

Juan Bautista Torres faces Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo in the Piracicaba round of 16 on clay. Juan Bautista Torres holds the paper edge — ranked #281, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTC
Torres J.72%
Aguilar Cardozo J.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Torres J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+153 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1233
7.2Overall Elo 1398
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1224
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

28 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
61%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Torres J.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Aguilar Cardozo J.

Aguilar Cardozo J.serving49% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Torres J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
90

Torres J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Aguilar Cardozo J.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

5th on QUADRA 6 · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 4Soto M. v Villanueva G.
  2. 5Torres J. v Aguilar Cardozo J.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
17°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 86%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.