Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanova — Piracicaba Round of 16
Aboian V.Valerio Aboian faces Hernan Casanova in the Piracicaba round of 16 on clay. Hernan Casanova holds the paper edge — ranked #406, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Casanova H. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Valerio Aboian dropped just 6 games past Valentin Basel.
- Surface form: Valerio Aboian 6 of 10, Hernan Casanova 5 of 10 on clay recently — Valerio Aboian the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadCasanova H.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
4th on QUADRA 3 · not before Not Before 15:30 · up next on court
- 4Aboian V. v Casanova H.This match
- 5Rodriguez Taverna S. v La Serna J.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.