Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — Piracicaba Round of 16
Saraiva Dos Santos P.Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos faces Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the Piracicaba round of 16 on clay. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida holds the paper edge — ranked #409, a roughly 210-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Pucinelli De Almeida M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos comes in with 9 days of rest and 31 games in 14d, vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's 3 and 67.
- Last match: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida dropped the opening set before beating Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 6–7 6–3 6–1.
- Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadSaraiva Dos Santos P.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on QUADRA CENTRAL · not before Starts At 10:00 · up next on court
- 1Saraiva Dos Santos P. v Pucinelli De Almeida M.This match
- 5Hardt N. v Leite W.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.