Tatjana Maria vs Tereza ValentovaEastbourne Quarter-final

Eastbourne · WTA · Quarter-final
#112WTA
1643ELO
1637Grass ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWWWL
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#61WTA
1844ELO
1641Grass ELO
$549kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10
WWLLLWWWWL
Maria T.
vs
Valentova T.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Maria T.27%
Valentova T.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Valentova T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1637
Surface ELO
5.0+3 Grass Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1643
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1844
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.94 of last 6 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.1Won 52% in GBR (29)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

21 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Maria T.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Valentova T.

Valentova T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Serve advantage — Valentova T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
74
74

Maria T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 52 games (7d) · Valentova T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.