Tatiana Prozorova vs Tatjana MariaManila 125 Round of 16

Manila 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#171WTA
1674ELO
1659Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 January 2026
hard
#96WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Prozorova T.
7-6 6-4
Maria T.
Prozorova T.
7762
Maria T.
624

Tatiana Prozorova defeated Tatjana Maria 7-6 6-4 in the Manila 125 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #96, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Tatiana Prozorova claimed a first win over Tatjana Maria in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-22RabatR32clayTatjana Maria7-5 6-7(5) 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Prozorova T.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Prozorova T.

Serve advantage — Prozorova T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Prozorova T.Maria T.
Serve
9
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
74
13
Break points saved·Dominant
81
31
Break points won·Clear edge
97
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
9
Tiebreaks·
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+50 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1608
5.9Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
3.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.9
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
71

Prozorova T.: 17 days rest · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast