Caty Mcnally vs Petra Marcinko — Eastbourne Quarter-final
Mcnally C.
Caty Mcnally faces Petra Marcinko in the Eastbourne quarter-final on grass. Caty Mcnally holds the paper edge — ranked #50, a roughly 270-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Mcnally C. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Petra Marcinko dropped just 5 games past Kimberly Birrell.
- Last match: Caty Mcnally handed Emiliana Arango a second-set bagel in a 6–3 6–0 win.
- Fatigue load: Petra Marcinko carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMcnally C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Marcinko P.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
4th on COURT 1 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 3Maria T. v Valentova T.
- 4Mcnally C. v Marcinko P.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.