Caty Mcnally vs Laura SiegemundBeijing Round of 128

Beijing · WTA · Round of 128
#50WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#40WTA
1769ELO
1713Hard ELO
$736kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
38 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWL
Mcnally C.
6-4 6-2
Siegemund L.
Mcnally C.
662
Siegemund L.
420

Caty Mcnally defeated Laura Siegemund 6-4 6-2 in the Beijing round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Laura Siegemund came in ranked #40, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128. Caty Mcnally claimed a first win over Laura Siegemund in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-01-06AucklandR32hardLaura Siegemund6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mcnally C.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Siegemund L.

Siegemund L.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcnally C.Siegemund L.
26
Serve
11
45
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
71%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
73
64
Break points saved·Slight edge
73
80
Break points won·Slight edge
99
89
Deciding sets·Even
74
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
78
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+18 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1713
5.4Overall Elo 1817
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1769
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
4.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
98

Mcnally C.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Siegemund L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw