Antonia Ruzic vs Petra MarcinkoEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 32
#57WTA
1736ELO
1577Grass ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLWLL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 4 · 2nd on
#52WTA
1704ELO
1452Grass ELO
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10
LWLWLWLWLW
Ruzic A.
vs
Marcinko P.

Antonia Ruzic faces Petra Marcinko in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Petra Marcinko holds the paper edge — ranked #52. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Ruzic A.69%
Marcinko P.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ruzic A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Antonia Ruzic 137 games in 14 days, Petra Marcinko 85.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on grass recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.6+124 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Grass Elo 1452
5.1Overall Elo 1736
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1704
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.62 of last 6 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Ruzic A.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

21 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
46%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.8
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ruzic A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Marcinko P.

Marcinko P.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ruzic A.

Serve advantage — Marcinko P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
82
71
Break points saved·Dominant
84
54
Break points won·Even
96
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
92
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
62

Ruzic A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Marcinko P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.