Laura Siegemund vs Petra MarcinkoIndian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
#40WTA
1769ELO
1713Hard ELO
$736kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
38 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#47WTA
1745ELO
1639Hard ELO
$468kYTD
$956kCAREER
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Siegemund L.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Marcinko P.
Siegemund L.
3662
Marcinko P.
6341

Laura Siegemund defeated Petra Marcinko 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Laura Siegemund came in ranked #40, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Laura Siegemund extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR128hardLaura Siegemund6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Siegemund L.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Marcinko P.

Marcinko P.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Siegemund L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siegemund L.Marcinko P.
11
Serve
46
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
43%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
63
72
Break points saved·Dominant
80
54
Break points won·Slight edge
89
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
93
Tiebreaks·
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+74 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1639
6.1Overall Elo 1769
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
3.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
4.7
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
76

Siegemund L.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Marcinko P.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw