Michele Ribecai vs Henri Squire — Poznan Round of 32
Poznan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
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Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
Michele Ribecai faces Henri Squire in the Poznan round of 32 on clay. Henri Squire holds the paper edge — ranked #238, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Michele Ribecai carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Michele Ribecai 4 of 10, Henri Squire 6 of 10 on clay recently — Henri Squire the sharper of late.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCRibecai M.31%
Squire H.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Squire H. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1277
Surface ELO7.5+202 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1301
ELO gap7.5Overall Elo 1499
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form6.16 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form61%1st serve in+10%71%
67%1st serve points won+1%68%
54%2nd serve points won+7%47%
62%Service points won62%
40%Return points won+2%38%
56%Break points saved+6%62%
1.4Aces / match+3.34.7
2.5Double faults / match+1.74.2
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final