Duje Ajdukovic vs Dalibor Svrcina

Poznan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

CRO

Duje Ajdukovic

#289ATP

1475ELO

1457Clay ELO

25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Monday, 15 June 2026 · 09:00

clay

CZE

Dalibor Svrcina

#107ATP

1677ELO

1606Clay ELO

$232kYTD

$1.2MCAREER

23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Duje Ajdukovic faces Dalibor Svrcina in the Poznan round of 32 on clay. Dalibor Svrcina holds the paper edge — ranked #107, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Fatigue load: Dalibor Svrcina carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Duje Ajdukovic 4 of 10, Dalibor Svrcina 5 of 10 on clay recently — Dalibor Svrcina the sharper of late.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC

Ajdukovic D.15%

Svrcina D.85%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Svrcina D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Ajdukovic D.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Svrcina D.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.1Clay Elo 1457

Surface ELO

6.9+148 Clay Elo edge

2.5Overall Elo 1475

ELO gap

7.5Overall Elo 1676

5.0First meeting on clay

H2H

5.0First meeting on clay

4.85 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.35 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.