Petr Brunclik vs Sumit Nagal — Poznan Round of 32
Poznan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
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Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
Petr Brunclik faces Sumit Nagal in the Poznan round of 32 on clay. Sumit Nagal is the paper favourite — ranked #278, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage — but Petr Brunclik arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Sumit Nagal's 4.
Key context
- Surface form: Petr Brunclik 6 of 10, Sumit Nagal 4 of 10 on clay recently — Petr Brunclik the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCBrunclik P.65%
Nagal S.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Brunclik P. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1458
Surface ELO5.2+16 Clay Elo edge
5.6Overall Elo 1525
ELO gap4.4Overall Elo 1480
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form3.64 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form61%1st serve in+9%70%
72%1st serve points won+8%64%
52%2nd serve points won+3%49%
64%Service points won+4%60%
41%Return points won+1%40%
65%Break points saved+2%63%
5.2Aces / match+3.12.1
4Double faults / match+1.62.4
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final