Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron — Stuttgart Round of 16

Stuttgart · ATP · Round of 16

USA

Ben Shelton

#5ATP

1938ELO

1785Grass ELO

$1.8MYTD

$13MCAREER

23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

LWLWLLWWWW

—

Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

USA

Marcos Giron

#88ATP

1754ELO

1694Grass ELO

$367kYTD

$6.8MCAREER

32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLLWWLWW

Ben Shelton faces Marcos Giron in the Stuttgart round of 16 on grass. Ben Shelton holds the paper edge — ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Last match: Marcos Giron edged Roberto Bautista Agut in two tight sets (7–6 7–5).
Head-to-head: Ben Shelton leads the head-to-head 2–1, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Hamburg 2026.
Stage: Ben Shelton defends last year's semi-final.
Fatigue load: Ben Shelton carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:22 UTC

Shelton B.84%

Giron M.16%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Shelton B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Shelton B.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Giron M.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

6.1+91 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.9Grass Elo 1694

7.3Overall Elo 1938

ELO gap

2.7Overall Elo 1754

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

6.66 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

6.87 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

Context

8.5Reached the semis here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.