Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic — s Hertogenbosch Round of 16

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Round of 16

POR

Nuno Borges

#50ATP

1728ELO

1599Grass ELO

$556kYTD

$5.0MCAREER

29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWLLWLLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

CRO

Marin Cilic

#47ATP

1811ELO

1776Grass ELO

$627kYTD

$33MCAREER

37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLWLLWLW

Around the match

Cilic made a successful return to competition at 's-Hertogenbosch, defeating Shapovalov in his comeback match.
Cilic M.ATP Tour ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Nuno Borges faces Marin Cilic in the s Hertogenbosch round of 16 on grass. Marin Cilic holds the paper edge — ranked #47, a roughly 180-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Key context

Last match: Marin Cilic dropped the opening set before beating Denis Shapovalov 6–7 6–4 7–5.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Hong Kong 2026.
Stage: Nuno Borges defends last year's quarter-final.
Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTC

Borges N.34%

Cilic M.66%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cilic M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Borges N.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Cilic M.

7.1

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.8Grass Elo 1598

Surface ELO

7.2+178 Grass Elo edge

4.0Overall Elo 1728

ELO gap

6.0Overall Elo 1811

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

6.36 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

8.89 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

7.0Reached the quarters here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.