Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Round of 32

CAN

Gabriel Diallo

#54ATP

1731ELO

1671Grass ELO

$370kYTD

$3.0MCAREER

24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLWLLLWLW

1 — 2

Sets

Tuesday, 9 June 2026 · 11:55

grass

CENTRE COURT · 1st on

FRA

Adrian Mannarino

#46ATP

1653ELO

1651Grass ELO

$445kYTD

$15MCAREER

37 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLLLLLLWL

A decisive break in the first set settled it as Adrian Mannarino got past Gabriel Diallo 6-4 3-6 7-5 in the s Hertogenbosch round of 32.

Key context

Set 2, game 6: A 13-point game with four deuces went Gabriel Diallo's way.
Set 3, game 4: A 13-point game with four deuces went Adrian Mannarino's way.
Pressure points: Gabriel Diallo converted 4 of 9 break points; Adrian Mannarino converted 5 of 13 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:21 UTC

Diallo G.64%

Mannarino A.36%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Diallo G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Diallo G.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Mannarino A.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Form & Matchup

5.3+20 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.7Grass Elo 1650

6.0Overall Elo 1731

ELO gap

4.0Overall Elo 1653

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.77 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

8.08 of last 10 on grass

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0Lost last 8

Fatigue & Travel

Country comfort

5.9Won 65% in NED (31)

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

3.0Clay → Grass

Context

Defending pts

6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Diallo G.

4651

Mannarino A.

6372