Caty Mcnally vs Solana Sierra — s Hertogenbosch Round of 16

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Round of 16

USA

Caty Mcnally

#59WTA

1809ELO

1704Grass ELO

24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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—

Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

ARG

Solana Sierra

#56WTA

1739ELO

1600Grass ELO

21 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWLWWLWW

Caty Mcnally faces Solana Sierra in the s Hertogenbosch round of 16 on grass. Solana Sierra holds the paper edge — ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Last match: Caty Mcnally dropped the opening set before beating Emma Navarro 4–6 6–0 6–4.
Head-to-head: Solana Sierra leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Hobart 2026.
Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC

Mcnally C.66%

Sierra S.34%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mcnally C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Mcnally C.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Sierra S.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.3+104 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.7Grass Elo 1600

5.7Overall Elo 1809

ELO gap

4.3Overall Elo 1739

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

8.07 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.06 of last 9 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

16°COvercast

Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-01-12	Hobart	R32	hard	Solana Sierra	1-6 6-4 6-1

Statistics

Recent form

Mcnally C.Sierra S.

72%1st serve in+9%63%

60%1st serve points won+3%63%

45%2nd serve points won+4%41%

56%Service points won+1%55%

45%Return points won+3%42%

58%Break points saved+3%55%

0.9Aces / match+1.32.2

2.6Double faults / match+1.94.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32

R16

Quarter-finals

Semi-finals

Final