Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen — s Hertogenbosch R16

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Round of 16

USAQ

Robin Montgomery

#484WTA

1671ELO

1633Grass ELO

21 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WWWLLWLWLL

—

Sets

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 · 15:00

grass

COURT 1 · 3rd on

BELQ

Greet Minnen

#202WTA

1695ELO

1655Grass ELO

28 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWWLWWL

Robin Montgomery faces Greet Minnen in the s Hertogenbosch round of 16 on grass. Greet Minnen holds the paper edge — ranked #202, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Robin Montgomery dropped the opening set before beating Daria Kasatkina 5–7 6–0 6–4.
Fatigue load: Robin Montgomery carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
Stage: Greet Minnen defends last year's round of 16.
Win streak: Both arrive on three-match winning runs.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC

Montgomery R.43%

Minnen G.57%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Montgomery R.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Minnen G.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.7Grass Elo 1633

Surface ELO

5.3+22 Grass Elo edge

4.1Overall Elo 1671

ELO gap

5.9Overall Elo 1695

3.0Trails 0–1 on grass

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on grass

8.18 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

8.28 of last 10 on grass

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

7.03-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.