Emma Navarro vs Caty Mcnally — s Hertogenbosch Round of 32

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Round of 32

USA

Emma Navarro

#25WTA

1839ELO

1753Grass ELO

$463kYTD

$6.1MCAREER

25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWWWWLWL

1 — 2

Sets

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 · 15:10

grass

COURT 1 · 2nd on

USA

Caty Mcnally

#59WTA

1809ELO

1704Grass ELO

24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLWWWLWL

Caty Mcnally fought back from a set down to beat Emma Navarro 4-6 6-0 6-4 in the s Hertogenbosch round of 32.

Key context

Set 2, game 1: Caty Mcnally broke serve.
Momentum: Caty Mcnally won six games in a row.
Pressure points: Emma Navarro converted 6 of 11 break points; Caty Mcnally converted 9 of 18 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC

Navarro E.60%

Mcnally C.40%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Navarro E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Navarro E.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Mcnally C.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Form & Matchup

5.6+49 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.4Grass Elo 1704

5.1Overall Elo 1839

ELO gap

4.9Overall Elo 1809

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

7.37 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.87 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

3.0Clay → Grass

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Navarro E.

6041

Mcnally C.

4662