Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris — Ilkley Round of 16

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

AUS

Dane Sweeny

#132ATP

1537ELO

1412Grass ELO

$212kYTD

$816kCAREER

25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLLLWWLL

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Sets

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

GBR

Billy Harris

#144ATP

1472ELO

1488Grass ELO

$193kYTD

$1.5MCAREER

31 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLLLLLLL

Dane Sweeny faces Billy Harris in the Ilkley round of 16 on grass. Dane Sweeny holds the paper edge — ranked #132.

Key context

Last match: Billy Harris dropped the opening set before beating Clement Chidekh 6–7 6–4 7–6.
Fatigue load: Billy Harris carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC

Sweeny D.46%

Harris B.54%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Sweeny D.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Harris B.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.1Grass Elo 1412

Surface ELO

5.9+76 Grass Elo edge

5.8Overall Elo 1537

ELO gap

4.2Overall Elo 1472

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

1.91 of last 7 on grass

Surface form

6.06 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Country comfort

7.0Home country · 7/14 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.