Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch — Lyon

Lyon · CHALLENGER
ESP
Daniel Rincon
#283ATP
1470ELO
1407Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWWWLL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 10 June 2026 ·
clay
USA
Dali Blanch
#284ATP
1503ELO
1501Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLWWWW

Daniel Rincon faces Dali Blanch in the Lyon match on clay. Daniel Rincon is the paper favourite — ranked #283 — but Dali Blanch arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on clay to Daniel Rincon's 4.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Rincon D.25%
Blanch D.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Blanch D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rincon D.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Blanch D.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.8Clay Elo 1406
Surface ELO
6.2+94 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1470
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1503
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Rincon D.Blanch D.
58%1st serve in58%
62%1st serve points won+5%67%
45%2nd serve points won+10%55%
55%Service points won+7%62%
42%Return points won+4%46%
53%Break points saved+5%48%
2.6Aces / match2.6
1.9Double faults / match+0.82.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw