Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

BLRQ

Iryna Shymanovich

#201WTA

1534ELO

1401Grass ELO

28 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLLWLWWW

—

Sets

Tuesday, 9 June 2026 · 15:00

grass

COURT 4 · 2nd on

THA

Lanlana Tararudee

#94WTA

1752ELO

1600Grass ELO

21 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWWWWWLW

Iryna Shymanovich faces Lanlana Tararudee in the Ilkley round of 32 on grass. Lanlana Tararudee holds the paper edge — ranked #94, a roughly 200-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Iryna Shymanovich dropped just 6 games past Clervie Ngounoue.
Fatigue load: Iryna Shymanovich carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC

Shymanovich I.21%

Tararudee L.79%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tararudee L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Shymanovich I.

4.7

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Tararudee L.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Form & Matchup

2.5Grass Elo 1401

Surface ELO

7.5+199 Grass Elo edge

3.6Overall Elo 1534

ELO gap

6.4Overall Elo 1752

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.03 of last 7 on grass

Surface form

6.43 of last 5 on grass

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Surface transition

3.0Clay → Grass

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.