Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan — Ilkley Round of 32

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

CZEQ

Tereza Martincova

#259WTA

1581ELO

1547Grass ELO

31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWWLWLLW

—

Sets

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 · 12:10

grass

COURT 5 · 1st on

GBRWC

Katie Swan

#200WTA

1506ELO

1444Grass ELO

27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWWWWWWWW

Around the match

“It's never easy facing a Brit in the grass court season first round, and it's my first time defending points after making the final here last year. I'm really happy with how I handled it and managed to get over the line in straight sets. I love the grass, it really suits my game, and it's nice to be in the UK.”
Swan K.lta.org.uk ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:22 UTC

Martincova T.77%

Swan K.23%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Martincova T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Martincova T.

6.9

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Swan K.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

6.3+103 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.7Grass Elo 1444

5.1Overall Elo 1581

ELO gap

4.9Overall Elo 1506

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.17 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

3.03 of last 10 on grass

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Country comfort

4.7Home country · 1/9 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

1st on COURT 5 · not before Starting at 10:30 AM · up next on court

1Martincova T. v Swan K.This match
3Prozorova T. v Kraus S.15:00

Conditions

Weather forecast

10°CDrizzle

Wind 17 km/hHumidity 80%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Martincova T.Swan K.

79%1st serve in+12%67%

64%1st serve points won+4%68%

55%2nd serve points won+9%46%

63%Service points won+2%61%

44%Return points won+4%48%

57%Break points saved+2%59%

1.4Aces / match+1.22.6

1.5Double faults / match+23.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.